🔧 Debug Panel - v36 API Status ▼
Waiting for JS to start…
bitFlyer
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Coincheck
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GMO Coin
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BTC / JPY — 7-Day Prediction Engine v36
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Live $ --- 24h: --- USD/JPY: ---
Connecting…
Auto-Refresh ON
Next live refresh in: --
Fed Funds Rate
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Loading FRED…
Halving Cycle
--
days since halving
ETF Flow (7d)
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Farside data
Seasonality
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hist. monthly avg
S/R Level
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nearest key level
Fear & Greed
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Loading…
Exchange Reserves
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BTC on exchanges
Funding Rate
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Perp bias
USD/JPY Trend
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7-day trend
DXY / Liquidity
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USD pressure
7D Price Trend
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vs 7 days ago
BTC Dominance
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vs altcoins
MA Cross
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50d vs 200d
Price vs MAs
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above / below avg
Volume
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vs 20d avg
Trend Structure
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HH/HL or LH/LL
Breakout
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S/R + volume
Signal Agree
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signals aligned
Candle Pattern
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last 3 candles
Stoch RSI
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0=oversold 100=over
Williams %R
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-100=OS 0=OB
Ichimoku
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vs cloud 9/26/52
CMF 21d
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money flow
Detecting… Analysing market structure…
🔗 On-Chain & Structural Signals
Live On-Chain Intelligence loading…
On-Chain Composite -- computing…
MVRV-Z Score
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market vs realised
Exchange Net Flow
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BTC on/off exchange
Funding 7d MA
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smoothed perp bias
Hash Rate Trend
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miner commitment
Puell Multiple
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miner revenue ratio
Regime ADX
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trend strength 0-100
📈 Bond Yield Spread & Macro Risk
US Yield Curve (10Y−2Y)loading… loading…
Macro Signal -- fetching FRED…
US 10Y Treasury
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Long-term benchmark
US 2Y Treasury
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Fed policy proxy
US 5Y Treasury
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Mid-term rate
10Y−2Y Spread
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yield curve slope
Japan 10Y JGB
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BoJ rate context
US−JP 10Y Diff
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carry trade signal
📅 Macro Event Calendar
⚠ Scheduled high-impact events — next 7 weeks
Loading event calendar…
🇺🇸 FedWatch Rate Expectations
FOMC Rate Decision Probabilities loading…
Calculating policy expectations…
🌐 Global Macro & Crypto News
Live Intelligence Feed
Fed · SEC · FSA · BOJ · ECB · ETF flows · Exchange events · Institutional moves
Fetching global news intelligence…
Last fetched: — · Auto-refresh every 5 min · Live RSS + curated
📁 Institutional & Insider Filings Scanner
Filings & Trade Disclosures
Scan Form 4s, political trades, and institutional acquisitions
Date Filer / Entity Ticker Type Value Action
Select a source and click "Scan Filings" to query data...
🎯 Probabilistic Scenario Fan
3-Path Scenario Distribution regime: --
Bull path
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Base path
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Bear path
--%
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p10/p50/p90 asymmetric bands · Skew applied per regime · -- ·
📐 Order Book Imbalance (OBI)
Loading OBI data…
🎯 Forecast Performance
⏳ Accuracy tracking active — needs 3+ forecast cycles.
📆 Weekly Fixed Predictions
7-Week Outlook — Rolling Targets
Regime-gated · noise-cleaned · event-aware · auto-refreshes every 15 min
⚡ Live-synced
Calculating weekly predictions…
Loading macro context for weekly view…
Recomputed on every forecast refresh · next refresh: with daily forecast
One-Week Probability Buckets
Realistic 7-Day Probability Analytics
Logistic direction model · HMA trend filter · EWMA volatility · conflict-adjusted confidence
v34 calibrated
Waiting
--%
Run forecast
Signal conflict: pending
📊 Tomorrow's Daily Range Forecast
Tomorrow's Daily Range Forecast
EWMA volatility clustering · bias-adjusted · 1σ expected / 2σ extreme risk
v34 calibrated
Today Return
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Vol (EWMA)
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Vol Regime
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Confidence
-- / 100
Run forecast to populate range data…
⚡ 7-Day Daily Forecast
7-Day Probabilistic Price Forecast
Fixed daily snapshot · generated from market + news + technicals + derivatives
Live data refreshes automatically; the 7-day forecast is locked for the day.  
Calculating…
📊 Daily BTC/JPY Fluctuation
Price History & Volatility
Hourly spot data · updated every 5 min
Open
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High
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Low
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Range %
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Vol (7d σ)
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Price (JPY) Volume
RSI 14 ━ Oversold <30   ━ RSI   ━ Overbought >70
Global Influence Watch
People & Institution Impact Signals
BlackRock · Trump/admin policy · Elon Musk/Tesla/X · MicroStrategy · SEC/Fed · major exchanges. This layer extracts impact variables from news and curated official-watch items; it does not predict BTC by itself.
news interpreter
Waiting for news intelligence...
v36 · BTC/JPY Forecast Engine · Auto-refreshes every 15 min
★ v36: +Institutional & Insider Filings Scanner (SEC EDGAR feed, Congress & OpenInsider trackers with dynamic proxy; simulated fallback is display-only) · +Shared 7-day/weekly direction guard prevents the two forecast panels from disagreeing during strong near-term consensus · +Removed double-counted HMM regime bias · +Fixed weekly bias scale factor (0.055→0.08) · +Horizon-adjusted probabilityUp per day · +Versioned fixed forecast cache key (v35→v36) · +Stale-lock threshold restored to 1.5% (was 0.8%) · +Momentum weight increased (0.18→0.25) · +RSI overbought threshold standardized to 70 · +Day-1 mean-reversion dampener for large intraday moves
★ v34: +Daily Range Probability Panel (Tomorrow's expected ±1σ / extreme ±2σ bands, EWMA clustering, regime detection, confidence score) · EWMA vol (50% weight) replaces ATR blend in localQuantForecast — reacts to big moves within 24h · Widened vol clamps (expected: 1%→4.5%; tail: 1.8%→8.5%) · Stale-lock invalidation: forecast recomputed when live price drifts >2% from locked snapshot · Removed Glassnode integration (SOPR, NVT, Active Addresses) to operate on local/public APIs only.
★ v33: +Bond Yield Spread (US 10Y/2Y/5Y + Japan 10Y JGB via FRED) · Bond spread integrated into Group C macro signal (both daily+weekly) · Fixed duplicate liquidityBias addition bug · US−JP 10Y differential carry trade signal
★ v32: +HMA(55) trend/cross filter · +logistic weekly direction probability · +explicit P(+3%)/P(-3%)/P(flat ±2%) buckets · +EWMA/GARCH-lite volatility blend · +signal-conflict confidence multiplier · Weekly model excludes OBI microstructure noise
★ v30: OHLCV → bitbank BTC/JPY candlestick API primary (2yr fetch) + CoinGecko market_chart fallback · Hourly → bitbank 1h + CoinGecko fallback · Removed: fetchBinanceWeeklyOHLCV, enhanceForecastWithAI, Anthropic API (all blocked/unnecessary) · News → curated-only (reliable)
★ v29: Exchange bar → 3 tiles only (bitFlyer WS · Coincheck · GMO) · Removed bitbank + Binance tiles · Fixed exbar HTML (orphaned tags from v27 removal) · BitFlyer: added jsonrpc 2.0 to subscribe message + REST bootstrap (api.bitflyer.com/v1/getticker)
★ v28: OHLCV source → Binance JP BTCJPY klines (CryptoCompare removed — blocked without API key) · News feed → Anthropic API real-time intelligence (allorigins/corsproxy removed — silently failing) · 7-day forecast → AI-enhanced price ranges via Claude API · Hourly OHLCV → Binance JP 1h klines
★ v27: Removed dead exchange tiles (SBI VC — terminated 2023, BitTrade — withdrew from JP 2024, Rakuten — wrong API endpoint) · CoinGecko switched to /simple/price (avoids 429 rate-limit on free tier) · bootstrapUsdJpy fixed (Binance USDJPY spot pair does not exist → Frankfurter primary + ER-API fallback)
★ v23: +Regime Confidence Score · +Asymmetric Skew Bands (p10/p50/p90 per scenario) · +On-Chain Composite Score card · +Per-week scenario price breakdown in weekly panel · +ADX signal card
★ v22: +Regime Classifier (ADX-based: Trending Bull/Bear · Ranging · High-Vol · Post-Capitulation — all signal weights regime-gated) · +On-Chain Signals (MVRV proxy · Exchange flow proxy · Funding 7d MA · Hash rate trend · Puell Multiple proxy) · +Macro Event Calendar (FOMC · CPI · Options Expiry · BOJ · CME Futures — per-week band widening) · +Probabilistic Scenario Fan Chart (3 paths: Bull/Base/Bear with regime-skewed distributions) · +Regime-skewed bands (positive skew in bull, negative in bear)
★ v21: computeWeeklyBias() noise-cleaned · vol std-dev · per-week compounding · baseProb clamped [32,68] · price floor · weekVol from dailyVol×√5
★ v20: MA 20/50/100/200 · Golden/Death Cross · Volume confirmation · HH/HL trend structure · Breakout detection · Candlestick patterns · Signal convergence
Data: CryptoCompare (365d OHLCV) · CoinGecko · Binance WS · Binance Weekly OHLCV · BitFlyer WS · CryptoPanic RSS · Alternative.me · FRED · Farside ETF · Blockchain.com hash rate · Not financial advice.